Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Cheltenham Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031460400 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,682 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 17031460400 covers part of the Cheltenham area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,682 residents. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,333
Renter share47.7%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$70,472
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7445, -87.5637 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cheltenham scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,106 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Cheltenham compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 43%Grade C
- 50%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 924Total filings over 15 yrs
- 9.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.5%Peak (2001)
- 80Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cheltenham. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.2%Housing insecurity
- 17.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.6%Food insecurity
- 32.6%SNAP enrollment
- 15.1%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 32.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cheltenham
Against Cook County at 45.6%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.3/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.
SNAP participation runs 32.6% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,106, 23% below the Chicago average.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 924 filings here across 15 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 12.5% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 9.6% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031460400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031460400?
Census tract 17031460400 in the Cheltenham neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031460400?
Median gross rent is $1,106/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031460400?
23.4% of residents in tract 17031460400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,682.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031460400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 46th, minority 99th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 17031460400 considered part of Cheltenham?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031460400 fall within Cheltenham (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031460400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 924 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031460400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.56% of renter households, peaking at 12.5% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031460400 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031460400 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031460400 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031460400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 50% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Brookdale
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Glendale
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Arcadia Terrace
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Pacific Junction
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Cheltenham
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
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