Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Cheltenham Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031460301 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,189 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 17031460301 covers part of the Cheltenham area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,189 residents. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Cook County average of 45.6%.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 16% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,258
Renter share42.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate31.2%
Median income$41,296

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Cheltenham
Very High
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#271 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Elevated
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#131 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7400, -87.5564 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cheltenham scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
31.2% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$1,116 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Cheltenham compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cheltenham risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 460301Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 745Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 9.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.5%Peak (2004)
  • 42Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170314603012001: 47 filings (8.32/100 renter HHs)2002: 63 filings (11.15/100 renter HHs)2003: 68 filings (12.04/100 renter HHs)2004: 82 filings (14.52/100 renter HHs)2005: 52 filings (7.17/100 renter HHs)2006: 44 filings (6.07/100 renter HHs)2007: 52 filings (7.17/100 renter HHs)2008: 62 filings (8.55/100 renter HHs)2009: 39 filings (5.38/100 renter HHs)2010: 38 filings (6.71/100 renter HHs)2011: 35 filings (8.75/100 renter HHs)2012: 42 filings (10.50/100 renter HHs)2013: 41 filings (10.25/100 renter HHs)2014: 38 filings (9.50/100 renter HHs)2015: 42 filings (10.50/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cheltenham. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cheltenham

Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Housing insecurity runs 33.7% against 14.2% nationally.

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.3/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $41,296, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. At $1,116 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.8% against 11.3% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 745 filings here across 15 tracked years.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031460301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031460301?

Census tract 17031460301 in the Cheltenham neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031460301?

Median gross rent is $1,116/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031460301?

31.2% of residents in tract 17031460301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,189.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031460301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 95th, minority 98th, housing 44th.
Q5

Is tract 17031460301 considered part of Cheltenham?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031460301 fall within Cheltenham (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031460301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 745 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031460301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.11% of renter households, peaking at 14.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031460301 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031460301 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031460301 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031460301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related