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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Cheltenham Eviction Risk: High

3 census tracts · pop 11,083 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.1/10 · range 8.1–8.1

Cheltenham spans 3 census tracts of Chicago, IL, population 11,083. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 8.1/10, High tier. Against a Chicago baseline of 29.3%, 61% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 31%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. SNAP participation is 38.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.2/10. At $1,029 a month, rents sit 29% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

20.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

Filings are well documented here: 2,794 across 3 observed tracts. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 14.5% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 10.7% in 2015 against a 14.5% peak. Among the 187 mapped neighborhoods of Chicago, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8.1
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Cheltenham vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.5% +106%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,029 -29%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$52,133 -31%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
25.4% +51%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
48.4% -10%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cheltenham and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 8.1–8.1

Why Cheltenham scores 8.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
48% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
25.4% below poverty line · Range 5.7–7.8 across tracts
6.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.3 across tracts
1.2
Risk score comparison

Cheltenham vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cheltenham score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Cheltenham: 8.18.1CheltenhamNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Cheltenham?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 8.1 to 8.1. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Cheltenham

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031460302 8.1 4,212 62% $895
17031460400 8.1 3,682 58% $1,106
17031460301 8.1 3,189 62% $1,116
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 79

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 61%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 96%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cheltenham

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,794Total filings (sum)
  • 9.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.5%Peak year (2014)
  • 10.65%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cheltenham

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cheltenham

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cheltenham?

Cheltenham scores 8.1/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cheltenham compare to Chicago overall?

Cheltenham scores 1.4 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,029 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cheltenham?

Average gross rent in Cheltenham is $1,029/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cheltenham residents are renters?

48% of Cheltenham households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 11,083 residents.
Q5

Is Cheltenham a high social-vulnerability area?

Cheltenham sits in the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Cheltenham have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cheltenham is census tract 17031460302 (score 8.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.1 to 8.1, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Cheltenham for landlords?

Cheltenham carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Cheltenham?

Cheltenham has 10,740 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (78.1%), Hispanic / Latino (13.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (4.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cheltenham

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cheltenham.

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