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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Hill Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031710400 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,668 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

17031710400 is a census tract in the Forest Hill area of Chicago, IL. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,668. Severe burden reaches 49%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 16% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,160
Renter share43.4%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate35.4%
Median income$43,986

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In Forest Hill
Moderate
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#75 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#218 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7539, -87.6709 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Hill scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
35.4% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$1,168 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Forest Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 710400Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,023Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 8.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.2%Peak (2002)
  • 80Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170317104002001: 79 filings (10.93/100 renter HHs)2002: 88 filings (12.17/100 renter HHs)2003: 61 filings (8.44/100 renter HHs)2004: 88 filings (12.17/100 renter HHs)2005: 77 filings (8.48/100 renter HHs)2006: 54 filings (5.95/100 renter HHs)2007: 51 filings (5.62/100 renter HHs)2008: 45 filings (4.96/100 renter HHs)2009: 60 filings (6.61/100 renter HHs)2010: 52 filings (6.97/100 renter HHs)2011: 64 filings (7.44/100 renter HHs)2012: 69 filings (8.02/100 renter HHs)2013: 76 filings (8.84/100 renter HHs)2014: 79 filings (9.19/100 renter HHs)2015: 80 filings (9.30/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Forest Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Hill

63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Cook County average of 45.6%. The dominant input is economic stress at 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Housing insecurity runs 31.2% against 14.2% nationally.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Average gross rent is $1,168, 19% below the Chicago average. The filing record is not thin: 1,023 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2002, when 12.2% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 8.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #7,382 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031710400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031710400?

Census tract 17031710400 in the Forest Hill neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031710400?

Median gross rent is $1,168/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031710400?

35.4% of residents in tract 17031710400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,668.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031710400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 79th, minority 98th, housing 26th.
Q5

Is tract 17031710400 considered part of Forest Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031710400 fall within Forest Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031710400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,023 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031710400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.34% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031710400 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031710400 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031710400 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031710400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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