Within neighborhood
86
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Hill Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031661000 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,424 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 17031661000 covers part of the Forest Hill area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,067
Renter share30.4%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate26.0%
Median income$49,652
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7618, -87.6850 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Hill scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
26.0% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,286 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Forest Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 56%Grade C
- 35%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 700Total filings over 15 yrs
- 5.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.8%Peak (2001)
- 62Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.1%Housing insecurity
- 21.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 40.7%Food insecurity
- 41.2%SNAP enrollment
- 19.0%Transit barriers
- 17.1%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 36.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Hill
Cost burden runs 65% here against 45.6% across Cook County. SNAP participation runs 41.2% against 15.2% nationally.
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 32.1% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 700 filings here across 15 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,286, 11% below the Chicago average.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 8.8% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031661000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031661000?
Census tract 17031661000 in the Forest Hill neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031661000?
Median gross rent is $1,286/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031661000?
26.0% of residents in tract 17031661000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,424.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031661000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 97th, minority 97th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 17031661000 considered part of Forest Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031661000 fall within Forest Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031661000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 700 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031661000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.73% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031661000 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031661000 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031661000 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031661000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 35% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Cragin
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
O'Keeffe
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Forest Hill
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mandell
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Branch Addition
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chatham Fields
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
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