Within neighborhood
71
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Hill Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031672000 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,295 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 17031672000 covers part of the Forest Hill area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,295 residents. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,062
Renter share29.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate21.0%
Median income$45,192
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7612, -87.6711 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Hill scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
21.0% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,454 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Forest Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 100%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 64%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 373Total filings over 15 yrs
- 7.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.8%Peak (2001)
- 29Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 33.4%Housing insecurity
- 22.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 43.8%Food insecurity
- 44.6%SNAP enrollment
- 20.5%Transit barriers
- 17.7%No health insurance
- 19.5%Frequent mental distress
- 40.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Hill
Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 45.6% across Cook County. SNAP participation runs 44.6% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 33.4% against 14.2% nationally.
Set annual rent against average income of $45,192 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. Court records carry 373 eviction filings across 15 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2001, when 12.8% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031672000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031672000?
Census tract 17031672000 in the Forest Hill neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031672000?
Median gross rent is $1,454/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031672000?
21.0% of residents in tract 17031672000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,295.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031672000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 90th, minority 100th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 17031672000 considered part of Forest Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031672000 fall within Forest Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031672000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 373 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031672000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.85% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031672000 struggle to pay rent?
About 33.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031672000 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031672000 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031672000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 64% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
New Auburn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Pocket Town
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marquette Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
West Haven
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
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