Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Grayland Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031150800 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,668 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 17031150800 covers part of the Grayland area of Chicago, IL, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,668 residents. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,709
Renter share27.9%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$79,044
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9497, -87.7521 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grayland scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,309 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Grayland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 327Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2015)
- 36Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 71% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Grayland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.2%Housing insecurity
- 8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.3%Food insecurity
- 14.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 16.7%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 26.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grayland
Cost burden runs 35% here against 45.6% across Cook County. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 327 filings here across 15 tracked years.
Average gross rent is $1,309, 9% below the Chicago average. The worst year on record was 2015, when 4.1% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031150800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031150800?
Census tract 17031150800 in the Grayland neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031150800?
Median gross rent is $1,309/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031150800?
10.6% of residents in tract 17031150800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,668.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031150800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 15th, minority 76th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 17031150800 considered part of Grayland?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031150800 fall within Grayland (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031150800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 327 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031150800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.52% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031150800 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031150800 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031150800 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031150800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
K-Town Historic District
8.1
/ 10 · High
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Park Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Arcade Row
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
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Cragin
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Crawford
8.1
/ 10 · High
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