Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally
Heart of Chicago Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 17031843200 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,348 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
17031843200 is a census tract in the Heart of Chicago area of Chicago, IL. It scores 7.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,348 residents. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units983
Renter share69.0%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$70,525
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8487, -87.6642 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heart of Chicago scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,149 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Heart of Chicago compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 18%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 184Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.6%Peak (2013)
- 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Heart of Chicago. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.6%Housing insecurity
- 11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.0%Food insecurity
- 20.0%SNAP enrollment
- 11.7%Transit barriers
- 20.5%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heart of Chicago
The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.
69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 36% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Cook County average of 45.6%.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. At $1,149 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Chicago commands. It sits 1.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.
The filing record is not thin: 184 evictions over 15 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 26.0% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 21.6% against 14.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 3.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #12,481 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031843200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031843200?
Census tract 17031843200 in the Heart of Chicago neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031843200?
Median gross rent is $1,149/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031843200?
13.5% of residents in tract 17031843200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,348.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031843200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 37th, minority 78th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 17031843200 considered part of Heart of Chicago?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031843200 fall within Heart of Chicago (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031843200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 184 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031843200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.05% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031843200 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031843200 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031843200 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031843200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 18% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Park Manor Historic District
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Jarvis Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Old Town Triangle
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Heart of Chicago
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Bryn Mawr West
8.1
/ 10 · High
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