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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Lilydale Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031490200 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,944 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 17031490200 covers part of the Lilydale area of Chicago, IL, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 18% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,391
Renter share33.2%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$65,268

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Lilydale
Very Low
Within parent city
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#392 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Moderate
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#436 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#476 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7249, -87.6169 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lilydale scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,210 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Lilydale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lilydale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.37.3This tracttract 490200Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lilydale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lilydale

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Average gross rent is $1,210, 16% below the Chicago average. SNAP participation runs 23.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 21.5% against 14.2% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7/10. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $65,268. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031490200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031490200?

Census tract 17031490200 in the Lilydale neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031490200?

Median gross rent is $1,210/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031490200?

13.7% of residents in tract 17031490200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,944.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031490200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 76th, minority 97th, housing 23th.
Q5

Is tract 17031490200 considered part of Lilydale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031490200 fall within Lilydale (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17031490200 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17031490200 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031490200 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17031490200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 75% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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