Tract 17031252202 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 4,945 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 17031252202 covers part of the Mandell area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,945 residents. Food insecurity runs 43.9% against 17.8% nationally.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%Stable renters 37%Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,841
Renter share71.1%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate29.9%
Median income$45,839
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
86th percentile
#2 of 8 tracts In Mandell
High
Within parent city
97th percentile
#28 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very High
Within county
96th percentile
#49 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100th percentile
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8768, -87.7446 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mandell scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
29.9% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,168 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Mandell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
94%Socioeconomic
70%Household composition
99%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
100%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
34.6%Housing insecurity
24.3%Utility-shutoff threat
43.9%Food insecurity
47.3%SNAP enrollment
20.5%Transit barriers
13.6%No health insurance
20.2%Frequent mental distress
37.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mandell
SNAP participation runs 47.3% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.
It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. This is renter territory: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
At $1,168 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,368 filings here across 15 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2008, when 9.4% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031252202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031252202?
Census tract 17031252202 in the Mandell neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031252202?
Median gross rent is $1,168/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031252202?
29.9% of residents in tract 17031252202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,945.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031252202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 70th, minority 99th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 17031252202 considered part of Mandell?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031252202 fall within Mandell (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031252202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,368 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031252202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.85% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031252202 struggle to pay rent?
About 34.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031252202 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031252202 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031252202 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.