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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Mandell Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031813302 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,893 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 17031813302 covers part of the Mandell area of Cicero, IL, and scores 7.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,893. Adults with no health insurance runs 36.3% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 39% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units968
Renter share65.0%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate24.3%
Median income$51,144

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 8 tracts In Mandell
Very Low
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 16 tracts In Chicago
High
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#409 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#435 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8623, -87.7447 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mandell scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
24.3% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,082 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
5.8

How Mandell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mandell risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.57.5This tracttract 813302Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 352Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 4.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.4%Peak (2013)
  • 32Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318133022001: 24 filings (3.39/100 renter HHs)2002: 22 filings (3.11/100 renter HHs)2003: 10 filings (1.41/100 renter HHs)2004: 20 filings (2.82/100 renter HHs)2005: 18 filings (2.88/100 renter HHs)2006: 14 filings (2.24/100 renter HHs)2007: 20 filings (3.20/100 renter HHs)2008: 20 filings (3.20/100 renter HHs)2009: 33 filings (5.27/100 renter HHs)2010: 25 filings (4.09/100 renter HHs)2011: 26 filings (5.33/100 renter HHs)2012: 25 filings (5.12/100 renter HHs)2013: 36 filings (7.38/100 renter HHs)2014: 27 filings (5.53/100 renter HHs)2015: 32 filings (6.56/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mandell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mandell

SNAP participation runs 39.3% against 15.2% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10.

21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.8/10.

40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Cook County average of 45.6%. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 352 filings here across 15 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 7.4% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031813302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031813302?

Census tract 17031813302 in the Mandell neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031813302?

Median gross rent is $1,082/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031813302?

24.3% of residents in tract 17031813302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,893.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031813302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 62th, minority 97th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 17031813302 considered part of Mandell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031813302 fall within Mandell (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031813302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 352 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031813302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.10% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031813302 struggle to pay rent?

About 36.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031813302 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031813302 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031813302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 63% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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