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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Mandell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Tract 17031813302 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,893 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

For landlords sizing up Mandell in Chicago, census tract 17031813302 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. It lands near the 69th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,082 a month against an average household income of $51,144 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 39% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units968
Renter share65.0%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate24.3%
Median income$51,144

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 8 tracts In Mandell
Very Low
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 16 tracts In Chicago
Very High
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#342 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#440 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8623, -87.7447 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mandell scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
24.3% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,082 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
5.8

How Mandell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mandell risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 813302Chicago: 5.75.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 352Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 4.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.4%Peak (2013)
  • 32Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318133022001: 24 filings (3.39/100 renter HHs)2002: 22 filings (3.11/100 renter HHs)2003: 10 filings (1.41/100 renter HHs)2004: 20 filings (2.82/100 renter HHs)2005: 18 filings (2.88/100 renter HHs)2006: 14 filings (2.24/100 renter HHs)2007: 20 filings (3.20/100 renter HHs)2008: 20 filings (3.20/100 renter HHs)2009: 33 filings (5.27/100 renter HHs)2010: 25 filings (4.09/100 renter HHs)2011: 26 filings (5.33/100 renter HHs)2012: 25 filings (5.12/100 renter HHs)2013: 36 filings (7.38/100 renter HHs)2014: 27 filings (5.53/100 renter HHs)2015: 32 filings (6.56/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mandell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mandell

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 63% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031813302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031813302?

Census tract 17031813302 in the Mandell neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031813302?

Median gross rent is $1,082/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031813302?

24.3% of residents in tract 17031813302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,893.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031813302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 62th, minority 97th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 17031813302 considered part of Mandell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031813302 fall within Mandell (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031813302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 352 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031813302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.10% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031813302 struggle to pay rent?

About 36.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031813302 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031813302 scores 5.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031813302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 63% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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