Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

The Island Eviction Risk: Elevated , Cicero

Tract 17031813400 · Cook County, IL · pop 8,214 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

17031813400 is a census tract in the The Island area of Cicero, IL. It scores 6.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 8,214. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 28% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,027
Renter share43.7%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$71,899

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In The Island
Elevated
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 16 tracts In Cicero
Moderate
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#591 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#690 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cicero and the region

Centroid at 41.8610, -87.7666 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Island scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cicero
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,111 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cicero
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cicero
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cicero
5.8

How The Island compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Island risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.66.6This tracttract 813400Cicero: 6.16.1Ciceroparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 473Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 3.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak (2012)
  • 43Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318134002001: 31 filings (4.30/100 renter HHs)2002: 29 filings (4.02/100 renter HHs)2003: 29 filings (4.02/100 renter HHs)2004: 10 filings (1.39/100 renter HHs)2005: 19 filings (2.59/100 renter HHs)2006: 24 filings (3.27/100 renter HHs)2007: 35 filings (4.77/100 renter HHs)2008: 20 filings (2.72/100 renter HHs)2009: 28 filings (3.81/100 renter HHs)2010: 29 filings (3.39/100 renter HHs)2011: 46 filings (4.36/100 renter HHs)2012: 52 filings (4.92/100 renter HHs)2013: 39 filings (3.69/100 renter HHs)2014: 39 filings (3.69/100 renter HHs)2015: 43 filings (4.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 39% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Island. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Island

Food insecurity runs 36.3% against 17.8% nationally. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 29.0% against 14.2% nationally.

37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Cook County average of 45.6%. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.8/10. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The filing record is not thin: 473 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2012, when 4.9% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031813400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031813400?

Census tract 17031813400 in the The Island neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031813400?

Median gross rent is $1,111/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031813400?

14.0% of residents in tract 17031813400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,214.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031813400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 84th, minority 88th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 17031813400 considered part of The Island?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031813400 fall within The Island (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031813400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 473 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031813400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.67% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031813400 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031813400 compare to Cicero overall?

Tract 17031813400 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Cicero at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cicero eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031813400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cicero

Top eight tracts in Cicero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related