Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

The Island Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cicero

Tract 17031813400 · Cook County, IL · pop 8,214 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The Island in Cicero is where census tract 17031813400 sits, home to 8,214 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.4/10. It lands near the 54th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,111 a month against an average household income of $71,899 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 28% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,027
Renter share43.7%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$71,899

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In The Island
Elevated
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 16 tracts In Cicero
Moderate
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#608 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#939 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cicero and the region

Centroid at 41.8610, -87.7666 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Island scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cicero
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,111 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cicero
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cicero
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cicero
5.8

How The Island compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Island risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 813400Cicero: 4.94.9Ciceroparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 473Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 3.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.9%Peak (2012)
  • 43Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318134002001: 31 filings (4.30/100 renter HHs)2002: 29 filings (4.02/100 renter HHs)2003: 29 filings (4.02/100 renter HHs)2004: 10 filings (1.39/100 renter HHs)2005: 19 filings (2.59/100 renter HHs)2006: 24 filings (3.27/100 renter HHs)2007: 35 filings (4.77/100 renter HHs)2008: 20 filings (2.72/100 renter HHs)2009: 28 filings (3.81/100 renter HHs)2010: 29 filings (3.39/100 renter HHs)2011: 46 filings (4.36/100 renter HHs)2012: 52 filings (4.92/100 renter HHs)2013: 39 filings (3.69/100 renter HHs)2014: 39 filings (3.69/100 renter HHs)2015: 43 filings (4.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 39% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Island. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Island

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cicero eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 473 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 3.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.9% of renter households in 2012.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031813400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031813400?

Census tract 17031813400 in the The Island neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031813400?

Median gross rent is $1,111/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031813400?

14.0% of residents in tract 17031813400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,214.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031813400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 84th, minority 88th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 17031813400 considered part of The Island?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031813400 fall within The Island (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031813400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 473 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031813400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.67% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031813400 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031813400 compare to Cicero overall?

Tract 17031813400 scores 4.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Cicero at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cicero eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031813400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cicero

Top eight tracts in Cicero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related