Within neighborhood
29
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Mandell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031252102 · Cook County, IL · pop 7,020 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
In the Mandell area of Chicago, census tract 17031252102 scores 6.1/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 62% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,223 a month while the average household earns $51,992 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,247
Renter share63.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$51,992
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8766, -87.7598 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mandell scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,223 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Mandell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 100%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,699Total filings over 15 yrs
- 8.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2004)
- 125Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mandell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 35.4%Housing insecurity
- 25.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 45.5%Food insecurity
- 49.3%SNAP enrollment
- 21.2%Transit barriers
- 13.7%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 39.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mandell
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031252102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031252102?
Census tract 17031252102 in the Mandell neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031252102?
Median gross rent is $1,223/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031252102?
16.2% of residents in tract 17031252102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,020.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031252102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 93th, minority 100th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 17031252102 considered part of Mandell?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031252102 fall within Mandell (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031252102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,699 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031252102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.74% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031252102 struggle to pay rent?
About 35.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031252102 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031252102 scores 5.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031252102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Central Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Argyle Street
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Altgeld Gardens
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Philip Murray Homes
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Becks Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Pacific Junction
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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