Within neighborhood
29
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Mandell Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031252102 · Cook County, IL · pop 7,020 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 17031252102 sits in the Mandell area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. It is home to 7,020 residents. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,247
Renter share63.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$51,992
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8766, -87.7598 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mandell scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,223 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Mandell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 100%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,699Total filings over 15 yrs
- 8.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2004)
- 125Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mandell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 35.4%Housing insecurity
- 25.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 45.5%Food insecurity
- 49.3%SNAP enrollment
- 21.2%Transit barriers
- 13.7%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 39.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mandell
Cost burden runs 62% here against 45.6% across Cook County. SNAP participation runs 49.3% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 35.4% against 14.2% nationally.
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
The filing record is not thin: 1,699 evictions over 15 years of observation. At $1,223 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Filings peaked in 2004 at 11.9% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 8.7% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031252102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031252102?
Census tract 17031252102 in the Mandell neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031252102?
Median gross rent is $1,223/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031252102?
16.2% of residents in tract 17031252102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,020.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031252102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 93th, minority 100th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 17031252102 considered part of Mandell?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031252102 fall within Mandell (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031252102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,699 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031252102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.74% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031252102 struggle to pay rent?
About 35.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031252102 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031252102 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031252102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Avalon Highlands
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Edgewater Beach
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
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