Within neighborhood
57
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Moreland Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031251600 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,456 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
17031251600 is a census tract in the Moreland area of Chicago, IL. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,456. The severe-burden share is 50%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,268
Renter share59.9%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate30.2%
Median income$34,332
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8914, -87.7518 · click any tract to drill in
Why Moreland scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
30.2% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$1,297 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Moreland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 98%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 686Total filings over 15 yrs
- 6.77%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.7%Peak (2015)
- 58Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 16% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Moreland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 37.9%Housing insecurity
- 27.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 49.7%Food insecurity
- 53.4%SNAP enrollment
- 23.7%Transit barriers
- 18.3%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 41.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Moreland
Food insecurity runs 49.7% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 37.9% against 14.2% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $34,332 and the ratio lands at 45%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Cost burden runs 59% here against 45.6% across Cook County. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.
The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.
The filing record is not thin: 686 evictions over 15 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,297, 10% below the Chicago average. The worst year on record was 2015, when 8.7% of renter households were served.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031251600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031251600?
Census tract 17031251600 in the Moreland neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031251600?
Median gross rent is $1,297/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031251600?
30.2% of residents in tract 17031251600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,456.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031251600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 97th, minority 92th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 17031251600 considered part of Moreland?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031251600 fall within Moreland (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031251600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 686 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031251600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.77% of renter households, peaking at 8.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031251600 struggle to pay rent?
About 37.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031251600 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031251600 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031251600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Englewood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Pacific Junction
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Fifth City
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Brighton
8.1
/ 10 · High
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