New Auburn Eviction Risk: Elevated

33% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity affects 43.1% of adults, 25.3 points above the national rate.

23.4% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Set annual rent against average household income of $38,146 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 28%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.4/10.

The 5 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 7 to 8.1, a 1.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. At $1,174 a month, rents sit 18% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

Court records carry 3,309 eviction filings across its 5 observed tracts. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 19.3% of renter households. Among the 187 mapped neighborhoods of Chicago, it ranks #48 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 2.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.