Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
New Auburn Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031710200 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,056 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 17031710200 sits in the New Auburn area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. It is home to 4,056 residents. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,784
Renter share68.1%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate36.8%
Median income$30,871
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.7551, -87.6514 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Auburn scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
36.8% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$865 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How New Auburn compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 79%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,812Total filings over 15 yrs
- 8.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.0%Peak (2015)
- 147Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within New Auburn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 38.8%Housing insecurity
- 28.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 51.4%Food insecurity
- 56.2%SNAP enrollment
- 24.7%Transit barriers
- 16.5%No health insurance
- 21.6%Frequent mental distress
- 43.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in New Auburn
SNAP participation runs 56.2% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 38.8% against 14.2% nationally. At $865 a month, rents run 40% under what the rest of Chicago commands.
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $30,871, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,812 filings here across 15 tracked years.
Cost burden runs 50% here against 45.6% across Cook County.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031710200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031710200?
Census tract 17031710200 in the New Auburn neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031710200?
Median gross rent is $865/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031710200?
36.8% of residents in tract 17031710200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,056.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031710200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 94th, minority 97th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 17031710200 considered part of New Auburn?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031710200 fall within New Auburn (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031710200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,812 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031710200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.51% of renter households, peaking at 10.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031710200 struggle to pay rent?
About 38.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031710200 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031710200 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031710200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Park Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Ellsworth
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Bush
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Corwith
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Cragin
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Roseland Heights
8.1
/ 10 · High
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