Within neighborhood
14
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Homan Square Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031841500 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,909 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 17031841500 sits in the Homan Square area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. Population here is 1,909. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 59%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units858
Renter share82.4%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate42.1%
Median income$24,706
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
Very High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8616, -87.7079 · click any tract to drill in
Why Homan Square scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
42.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,160 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Homan Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 6%Grade C
- 94%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 719Total filings over 15 yrs
- 6.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.3%Peak (2002)
- 69Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Homan Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 41.9%Housing insecurity
- 30.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 53.5%Food insecurity
- 58.4%SNAP enrollment
- 26.7%Transit barriers
- 17.3%No health insurance
- 23.5%Frequent mental distress
- 41.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Homan Square
Cost burden runs 71% here against 45.6% across Cook County. Annualized rent equals 56% of average household income of $24,706, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
SNAP participation runs 58.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 53.5% against 17.8% nationally.
The poverty rate is 42%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 82% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Average gross rent is $1,160, 19% below the Chicago average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031841500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031841500?
Census tract 17031841500 in the Homan Square neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031841500?
Median gross rent is $1,160/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031841500?
42.1% of residents in tract 17031841500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,909.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031841500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 70th, minority 95th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 17031841500 considered part of Homan Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031841500 fall within Homan Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031841500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 719 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031841500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.38% of renter households, peaking at 8.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031841500 struggle to pay rent?
About 41.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 30.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031841500 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031841500 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031841500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 94% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Cragin
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
O'Keeffe
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mandell
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Branch Addition
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chatham Fields
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Douglass Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Edgewater Glen
8.1
/ 10 · High
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