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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Park Manor Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031420500 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,040 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

17031420500 is a census tract in the Park Manor area of Chicago, IL. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 40% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,015
Renter share78.6%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate52.9%
Median income$22,432

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 12 tracts In Park Manor
Elevated
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#107 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7831, -87.6084 · click any tract to drill in

Why Park Manor scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
52.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$765 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Park Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Park Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 420500Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 904Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 6.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.3%Peak (2002)
  • 34Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170314205002001: 78 filings (6.27/100 renter HHs)2002: 91 filings (7.31/100 renter HHs)2003: 72 filings (5.78/100 renter HHs)2004: 62 filings (4.98/100 renter HHs)2005: 31 filings (2.99/100 renter HHs)2006: 45 filings (4.34/100 renter HHs)2007: 43 filings (4.15/100 renter HHs)2008: 53 filings (5.12/100 renter HHs)2009: 64 filings (6.18/100 renter HHs)2010: 60 filings (6.26/100 renter HHs)2011: 73 filings (9.93/100 renter HHs)2012: 58 filings (7.89/100 renter HHs)2013: 75 filings (10.20/100 renter HHs)2014: 65 filings (8.84/100 renter HHs)2015: 34 filings (4.63/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Park Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Park Manor

At $765 a month, rents run 47% under what the rest of Chicago commands. The poverty rate is 53%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 32.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Set annual rent against average income of $22,432 and the ratio lands at 41%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 44.2% against 31.5% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 904 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2002, when 7.3% of renter households were served.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031420500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031420500?

Census tract 17031420500 in the Park Manor neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031420500?

Median gross rent is $765/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031420500?

52.9% of residents in tract 17031420500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,040.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031420500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 52th, minority 98th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 17031420500 considered part of Park Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031420500 fall within Park Manor (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031420500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 904 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031420500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.33% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031420500 struggle to pay rent?

About 39.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 32.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031420500 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031420500 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031420500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 97% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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