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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

South Branch Addition Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031840200 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,198 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 17031840200 sits in the South Branch Addition area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. It is home to 2,198 residents. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 14% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units861
Renter share28.9%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate29.7%
Median income$51,771

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In South Branch Addition
High
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#164 of 792 tracts In Chicago
High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#263 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8446, -87.6492 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Branch Addition scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
29.7% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$1,172 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How South Branch Addition compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Branch Addition risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 840200Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 104Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 2.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.0%Peak (2007)
  • 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318402002001: 7 filings (1.97/100 renter HHs)2002: 2 filings (0.56/100 renter HHs)2003: 6 filings (1.69/100 renter HHs)2004: 9 filings (2.53/100 renter HHs)2005: 7 filings (3.72/100 renter HHs)2006: 6 filings (3.19/100 renter HHs)2007: 15 filings (7.98/100 renter HHs)2008: 9 filings (4.79/100 renter HHs)2009: 5 filings (2.66/100 renter HHs)2010: 10 filings (2.75/100 renter HHs)2011: 6 filings (1.50/100 renter HHs)2012: 10 filings (2.51/100 renter HHs)2013: 4 filings (1.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 3 filings (0.75/100 renter HHs)2015: 5 filings (1.25/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Branch Addition. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Branch Addition

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

Food insecurity runs 34.4% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.

SNAP participation runs 28.2% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

At $1,172 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Chicago commands. 51% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Cook County average of 45.6%.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 104 filings here across 15 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2007, when 8.0% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031840200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031840200?

Census tract 17031840200 in the South Branch Addition neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031840200?

Median gross rent is $1,172/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031840200?

29.7% of residents in tract 17031840200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,198.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031840200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 95th, minority 85th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 17031840200 considered part of South Branch Addition?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031840200 fall within South Branch Addition (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031840200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 104 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031840200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.59% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031840200 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031840200 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031840200 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031840200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 46% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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