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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,782 of 84,120 nationally

Park Manor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031400400 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,204 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Here is how census tract 17031400400, in Park Manor in Chicago eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.7/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,204. It lands near the 91st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,204 monthly, set against $40,029 in average yearly household income, roughly 36% of income at the averages. About 85% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 43% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units896
Renter share85.3%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate35.1%
Median income$40,029

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 12 tracts In Park Manor
Moderate
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#102 of 792 tracts In Chicago
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#87 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#76 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7911, -87.6183 · click any tract to drill in

Why Park Manor scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
35.1% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$1,204 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Park Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Park Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.07.0This tracttract 400400Chicago: 5.75.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 858Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 10.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.8%Peak (2002)
  • 43Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170314004002001: 83 filings (13.20/100 renter HHs)2002: 87 filings (13.83/100 renter HHs)2003: 67 filings (10.65/100 renter HHs)2004: 59 filings (9.38/100 renter HHs)2005: 58 filings (11.84/100 renter HHs)2006: 34 filings (6.94/100 renter HHs)2007: 44 filings (8.98/100 renter HHs)2008: 72 filings (14.69/100 renter HHs)2009: 46 filings (9.39/100 renter HHs)2010: 54 filings (9.36/100 renter HHs)2011: 47 filings (8.59/100 renter HHs)2012: 50 filings (9.14/100 renter HHs)2013: 54 filings (9.87/100 renter HHs)2014: 60 filings (10.97/100 renter HHs)2015: 43 filings (7.86/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Park Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Park Manor

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 98% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031400400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031400400?

Census tract 17031400400 in the Park Manor neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031400400?

Median gross rent is $1,204/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031400400?

35.1% of residents in tract 17031400400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,204.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031400400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 97th, minority 97th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 17031400400 considered part of Park Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031400400 fall within Park Manor (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031400400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 858 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031400400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.31% of renter households, peaking at 13.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031400400 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031400400 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031400400 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031400400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 98% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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