Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
South Brighton Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031610300 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,670 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031610300 in the South Brighton area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 27% here against 45.6% across Cook County.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 46%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units2,095
Renter share63.6%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate39.2%
Median income$49,901
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8162, -87.6751 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Brighton scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
39.2% poverty · this tract
9.8
Supply constraint
$913 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How South Brighton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 16%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 532Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.2%Peak (2014)
- 51Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Brighton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 33.2%Housing insecurity
- 18.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 43.5%Food insecurity
- 37.2%SNAP enrollment
- 18.9%Transit barriers
- 32.5%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 37.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Brighton
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.8/10. The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Average gross rent is $913, 37% below the Chicago average. Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Housing insecurity runs 33.2% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The filing record is not thin: 532 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2014, when 5.2% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031610300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031610300?
Census tract 17031610300 in the South Brighton neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031610300?
Median gross rent is $913/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031610300?
39.2% of residents in tract 17031610300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,670.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031610300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 90th, minority 97th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 17031610300 considered part of South Brighton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031610300 fall within South Brighton (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031610300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 532 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031610300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.24% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031610300 struggle to pay rent?
About 33.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031610300 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031610300 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031610300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 16% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Cragin
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
O'Keeffe
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Forest Hill
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mandell
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Branch Addition
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chatham Fields
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related