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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,434 of 84,120 nationally

The Bush Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031460100 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,650 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 17031460100 sits in the The Bush neighborhood of Chicago, Illinois. It has a population of 2,650 and an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). 48% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 38% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,053/month against a median household income of $48,207 — roughly 26% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 33% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units977
Renter share62.8%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$48,207

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank — 0th percentileBottomTop
#4 of 4 tracts In The Bush
Very Low
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank — 68th percentileBottomTop
#252 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Elevated
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank — 77th percentileBottomTop
#302 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank — 89th percentileBottomTop
#373 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7478, -87.5367 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Bush scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,053 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How The Bush compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Bush risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.26.2This tracttract 460100Chicago: 6.86.8Chicagoparent cityCounty: 5.75.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.45.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D — Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,256Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 10.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.8%Peak (2001)
  • 71Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170314601002001: 121 filings (12.79/100 renter HHs)2002: 95 filings (10.04/100 renter HHs)2003: 88 filings (9.30/100 renter HHs)2004: 111 filings (11.73/100 renter HHs)2005: 91 filings (10.82/100 renter HHs)2006: 76 filings (9.04/100 renter HHs)2007: 76 filings (9.04/100 renter HHs)2008: 63 filings (7.49/100 renter HHs)2009: 68 filings (8.09/100 renter HHs)2010: 76 filings (9.69/100 renter HHs)2011: 62 filings (9.19/100 renter HHs)2012: 94 filings (13.93/100 renter HHs)2013: 89 filings (13.19/100 renter HHs)2014: 75 filings (11.11/100 renter HHs)2015: 71 filings (10.52/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Bush. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031460100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031460100?

Census tract 17031460100 in the The Bush neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031460100?

Median gross rent is $1,053/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031460100?

21.8% of residents in tract 17031460100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,650.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031460100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 67th, minority 94th, housing 61th.

Q5

Is tract 17031460100 considered part of The Bush?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031460100 fall within The Bush (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031460100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,256 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031460100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.40% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 17031460100 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.7% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 17031460100 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031460100 scores 6.2/10 — lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 17031460100 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 19% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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