Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Southtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oak Park
Tract 17031812900 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,588 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 17031812900 in the Southtown area of Oak Park, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,588. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,715
Renter share28.6%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$147,614
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Park and the region
Centroid at 41.8763, -87.7953 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southtown scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Park
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,252 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Park
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Park
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Park
4.6
How Southtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 149Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.9%Peak (2004)
- 12Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Southtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.7%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 4.8%No health insurance
- 12.2%Frequent mental distress
- 19.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southtown
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Disability prevalence runs 19.0% against 31.5% nationally.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. Average gross rent is $1,252, 21% below the Oak Park average. It sits 1.3 points below the Cook County average of 6.1.
roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Cook County average of 45.6%. Food insecurity runs 7.7% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 149 filings here across 15 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 2.9% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031812900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031812900?
Census tract 17031812900 in the Southtown neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031812900?
Median gross rent is $1,252/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031812900?
6.7% of residents in tract 17031812900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,588.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031812900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 24th, minority 44th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 17031812900 considered part of Southtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031812900 fall within Southtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031812900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 149 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031812900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.95% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031812900 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031812900 compare to Oak Park overall?
Tract 17031812900 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Oak Park at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031812900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Park
Top eight tracts in Oak Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Pleasant District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Pleasant District
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Hemingway District
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Hemingway District
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IL
Oak Park Arts District
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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