Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Trumbull Park Homes Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031838800 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,225 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 17031838800 sits in the Trumbull Park Homes area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. Population here is 3,225. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,082
Renter share57.7%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate42.9%
Median income$24,432
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.6834, -87.5741 · click any tract to drill in
Why Trumbull Park Homes scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
42.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$557 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Trumbull Park Homes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 486Total filings over 15 yrs
- 4.71%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.1%Peak (2010)
- 33Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 136% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Trumbull Park Homes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 37.4%Housing insecurity
- 25.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 51.0%Food insecurity
- 52.3%SNAP enrollment
- 23.8%Transit barriers
- 24.3%No health insurance
- 20.1%Frequent mental distress
- 43.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Trumbull Park Homes
At $557 a month, rents run 61% under what the rest of Chicago commands. SNAP participation runs 52.3% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 51.0% against 17.8% nationally.
The poverty rate is 43%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Cost burden runs 37% here against 45.6% across Cook County.
Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The filing record is not thin: 486 evictions over 15 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2010 at 11.1% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #7,382 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031838800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031838800?
Census tract 17031838800 in the Trumbull Park Homes neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031838800?
Median gross rent is $557/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031838800?
42.9% of residents in tract 17031838800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,225.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031838800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 94th, minority 97th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 17031838800 considered part of Trumbull Park Homes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031838800 fall within Trumbull Park Homes (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031838800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 486 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031838800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.71% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031838800 struggle to pay rent?
About 37.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031838800 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031838800 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031838800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Pacific Junction
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Central Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Edgewater Beach
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Peterson Park (39th Ward)
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
West Haven
8.1
/ 10 · High
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