Trumbull Park Homes Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Food insecurity runs 30.8% against 17.8% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Housing insecurity runs 24.1% against 14.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 25 evictions over 14 years of observation. At $1,299 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

Filings peaked in 2003 at 2.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.