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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Trumbull Park Terrace Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 3,714 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.1/10 · range 8.1–8.1

Trumbull Park Terrace maps to a single census tract in Chicago, IL, population 3,714. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8.1/10, placing it in the High tier. Severe burden reaches 46%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

64% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Chicago rate of 29.3%. SNAP participation is 37.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Set annual rent against average household income of $48,917 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

18.9% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The filing record is not thin: 194 evictions logged in this tract. Filing activity peaked in 2008 at 6.3% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.9% in 2015, is well off that peak.

Among the 187 mapped neighborhoods of Chicago, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 8.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8.1
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Trumbull Park Terrace vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
64.4% +120%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,422 -1%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$48,917 -35%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
20.4% +21%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
36.0% -33%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Trumbull Park Terrace and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 8.1–8.1

Why Trumbull Park Terrace scores 8.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
64% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
20.4% below poverty line · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Trumbull Park Terrace vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Trumbull Park Terrace score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Trumbull Park Terr: 8.18.1Trumbull Park TerrNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Trumbull Park Terrace

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031510200 8.1 3,714 64% $1,422
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 80

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 82%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 85%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 94%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Trumbull Park Terrace

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 194Total filings (sum)
  • 5.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak year (2008)
  • 2.85%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Trumbull Park Terrace

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Trumbull Park Terrace

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Trumbull Park Terrace?

Trumbull Park Terrace scores 8.1/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Trumbull Park Terrace compare to Chicago overall?

Trumbull Park Terrace scores 1.4 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 64% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,422 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Trumbull Park Terrace?

Average gross rent in Trumbull Park Terrace is $1,422/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Trumbull Park Terrace residents are renters?

36% of Trumbull Park Terrace households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 3,714 residents.
Q5

Is Trumbull Park Terrace a high social-vulnerability area?

Trumbull Park Terrace sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Trumbull Park Terrace for landlords?

Trumbull Park Terrace carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Trumbull Park Terrace?

Trumbull Park Terrace has 3,138 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (67.5%), Hispanic / Latino (24.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Trumbull Park Terrace

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Trumbull Park Terrace.

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