Bryn Mawr East Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Cost burden runs 69% here against 45.6% across Cook County. Set annual rent against average income of $37,983 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

SNAP participation runs 32.6% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Court records carry 1,687 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,247, 13% below the Chicago average. Filings peaked in 2012 at 14.3% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.