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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Western Dunning Eviction Risk: Lower , Chicago

Tract 17031810502 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,846 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 17031810502 covers part of the Western Dunning area of Norridge, IL, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,846. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 21% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,084
Renter share31.7%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$82,037

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Western Dunning
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Chicago
Moderate
Within county
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#1,134 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very Low
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#2,213 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9596, -87.8105 · click any tract to drill in

Why Western Dunning scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,200 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
4.6

How Western Dunning compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Western Dunning risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 810502Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 123Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 1.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.4%Peak (2013)
  • 11Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318105022001: 7 filings (1.36/100 renter HHs)2002: 7 filings (1.36/100 renter HHs)2003: 4 filings (0.78/100 renter HHs)2004: 3 filings (0.58/100 renter HHs)2005: 4 filings (0.83/100 renter HHs)2006: 4 filings (0.83/100 renter HHs)2007: 5 filings (1.04/100 renter HHs)2008: 7 filings (1.46/100 renter HHs)2009: 7 filings (1.46/100 renter HHs)2010: 15 filings (2.77/100 renter HHs)2011: 11 filings (2.36/100 renter HHs)2012: 15 filings (3.22/100 renter HHs)2013: 16 filings (3.43/100 renter HHs)2014: 7 filings (1.50/100 renter HHs)2015: 11 filings (2.36/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 57% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Western Dunning. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Western Dunning

Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.2 points. Cost burden runs 33% here against 45.6% across Cook County. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.5/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.8/10. At $1,200 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Norridge commands.

The filing record is not thin: 123 evictions over 15 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2013 at 3.4% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10.

Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $82,037, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031810502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031810502?

Census tract 17031810502 in the Western Dunning neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031810502?

Median gross rent is $1,200/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031810502?

5.9% of residents in tract 17031810502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,846.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031810502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 62th, minority 41th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 17031810502 considered part of Western Dunning?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031810502 fall within Western Dunning (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031810502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 123 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031810502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.69% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031810502 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031810502 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031810502 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031810502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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