Western Dunning Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

Against Cook County at 45.6%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened. Court records carry 137 eviction filings across 15 observed years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 2.5% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Cook County average of 6.1 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.