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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Western Dunning Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

Tract 17031170700 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,260 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 17031170700 (the Western Dunning neighborhood of Chicago, Illinois) comes in at 5.7/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 38% of renter households, a high level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $82,284 a year. About 21% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 13% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,153
Renter share20.6%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$82,284

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Western Dunning
Elevated
Within parent city
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#569 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Low
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#682 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Moderate
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#1,134 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9415, -87.8222 · click any tract to drill in

Why Western Dunning scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Western Dunning compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Western Dunning risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 170700Chicago: 5.75.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 83Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 2.18%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.7%Peak (2009)
  • 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170311707002001: 1 filings (0.36/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (0.36/100 renter HHs)2003: 4 filings (1.45/100 renter HHs)2004: 1 filings (0.36/100 renter HHs)2005: 4 filings (1.24/100 renter HHs)2006: 5 filings (1.55/100 renter HHs)2007: 1 filings (0.31/100 renter HHs)2008: 5 filings (1.55/100 renter HHs)2009: 12 filings (3.72/100 renter HHs)2010: 3 filings (1.13/100 renter HHs)2011: 5 filings (2.25/100 renter HHs)2012: 12 filings (5.41/100 renter HHs)2013: 8 filings (3.60/100 renter HHs)2014: 11 filings (4.95/100 renter HHs)2015: 10 filings (4.50/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 900% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Western Dunning. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Western Dunning

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031170700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031170700?

Census tract 17031170700 in the Western Dunning neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031170700?

6.8% of residents in tract 17031170700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,260.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031170700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 21th, minority 54th, housing 17th.
Q4

Is tract 17031170700 considered part of Western Dunning?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031170700 fall within Western Dunning (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031170700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 83 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031170700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.18% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 17031170700 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17031170700 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031170700 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17031170700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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