Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Western Dunning Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031170400 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,989 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 17031170400 in the Western Dunning area of Chicago, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 20% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,609
Renter share10.9%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$105,524
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9489, -87.8127 · click any tract to drill in
Why Western Dunning scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,005 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Western Dunning compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 152Total filings over 15 yrs
- 3.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.7%Peak (2013)
- 8Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Western Dunning. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.7%Food insecurity
- 10.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Western Dunning
Average gross rent is $2,005, 39% above the Chicago average. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
The filing record is not thin: 152 evictions over 15 years of observation. The voucher gap is 13.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Filings peaked in 2013 at 6.7% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 4.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031170400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031170400?
Census tract 17031170400 in the Western Dunning neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031170400?
Median gross rent is $2,005/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031170400?
7.3% of residents in tract 17031170400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,989.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031170400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 38th, minority 60th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 17031170400 considered part of Western Dunning?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031170400 fall within Western Dunning (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031170400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 152 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031170400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.78% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031170400 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031170400 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031170400 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031170400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Essex
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
New Auburn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Roosevelt Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Central Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Forest Hill
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
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