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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,663 of 84,120 nationally

The Island Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cicero

Tract 17031813500 · Cook County, IL · pop 6,298 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 17031813500 sits in the The Island neighborhood of Cicero, Illinois. It has a population of 6,298 and an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). 43% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 19% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,081/month against a median household income of $77,713 — roughly 17% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 21% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,131
Renter share37.5%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$77,713

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank — 67th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 4 tracts In The Island
Elevated
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank — 47th percentileBottomTop
#9 of 16 tracts In Cicero
Moderate
Within county
32 th percentile
Rank — 32th percentileBottomTop
#906 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Low
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank — 58th percentileBottomTop
#1,380 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cicero and the region

Centroid at 41.8582, -87.7758 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Island scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cicero
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,081 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cicero
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cicero
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cicero
5.8

How The Island compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Island risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 813500Cicero: 5.75.7Ciceroparent cityCounty: 5.75.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.45.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C — Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 485Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 3.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.9%Peak (2014)
  • 46Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170318135002001: 23 filings (2.54/100 renter HHs)2002: 31 filings (3.42/100 renter HHs)2003: 31 filings (3.42/100 renter HHs)2004: 16 filings (1.77/100 renter HHs)2005: 27 filings (2.88/100 renter HHs)2006: 28 filings (2.99/100 renter HHs)2007: 29 filings (3.09/100 renter HHs)2008: 37 filings (3.94/100 renter HHs)2009: 30 filings (3.20/100 renter HHs)2010: 27 filings (2.97/100 renter HHs)2011: 29 filings (3.43/100 renter HHs)2012: 36 filings (4.26/100 renter HHs)2013: 45 filings (5.33/100 renter HHs)2014: 50 filings (5.92/100 renter HHs)2015: 46 filings (5.44/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Island. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031813500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031813500?

Census tract 17031813500 in the The Island neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031813500?

Median gross rent is $1,081/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031813500?

11.1% of residents in tract 17031813500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,298.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031813500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 46th, minority 93th, housing 59th.

Q5

Is tract 17031813500 considered part of The Island?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031813500 fall within The Island (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031813500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 485 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031813500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.64% of renter households, peaking at 5.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 17031813500 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 17031813500 compare to Cicero overall?

Tract 17031813500 scores 5.5/10 — right in line with the parent city of Cicero at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cicero eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 17031813500 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cicero

Top eight tracts in Cicero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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