Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Canaryville Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031612200 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,687 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

17031612200 is a census tract in the Canaryville area of Chicago, IL. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

8.1

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 22% Owners 41%

Tract context

Occupied units1,155

Renter share58.4%

SVI overall0.89

Poverty rate25.5%

Median income$46,227

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8049, -87.6527 · click any tract to drill in

Why Canaryville scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chicago

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.5

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

25.5% poverty · this tract

6.4

Supply constraint

$1,061 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chicago

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chicago

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chicago

6.5

How Canaryville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

100%Socioeconomic
88%Household composition
97%Racial/ethnic minority
25%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
53%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Canaryville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

37.5%Housing insecurity
22.1%Utility-shutoff threat
49.2%Food insecurity
45.2%SNAP enrollment
22.3%Transit barriers
33.1%No health insurance
19.6%Frequent mental distress
40.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Canaryville

SNAP participation runs 45.2% against 15.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 33.1% against 11.3% nationally. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,061, 26% below the Chicago average. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031612200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031612200?

Census tract 17031612200 in the Canaryville neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17031612200?

Median gross rent is $1,061/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031612200?

25.5% of residents in tract 17031612200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,687.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031612200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 88th, minority 97th, housing 25th.

Is tract 17031612200 considered part of Canaryville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031612200 fall within Canaryville (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17031612200 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17031612200 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031612200 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17031612200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 53% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.