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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Central Park Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031260100 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,016 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 17031260100 sits in the Central Park area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. It is home to 1,016 residents. Average gross rent is $608, 58% below the Chicago average.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 40% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units647
Renter share88.1%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate36.0%
Median income$21,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 tracts In Central Park
High
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#83 of 792 tracts In Chicago
High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8844, -87.7233 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Park scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
36.0% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$608 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Central Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 260100Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 616Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 7.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.0%Peak (2001)
  • 37Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170312601002001: 78 filings (11.03/100 renter HHs)2002: 53 filings (7.50/100 renter HHs)2003: 67 filings (9.48/100 renter HHs)2004: 38 filings (5.37/100 renter HHs)2005: 24 filings (3.43/100 renter HHs)2006: 27 filings (3.86/100 renter HHs)2007: 21 filings (3.00/100 renter HHs)2008: 17 filings (2.43/100 renter HHs)2009: 40 filings (5.71/100 renter HHs)2010: 51 filings (10.52/100 renter HHs)2011: 28 filings (6.21/100 renter HHs)2012: 41 filings (9.09/100 renter HHs)2013: 61 filings (13.53/100 renter HHs)2014: 33 filings (7.32/100 renter HHs)2015: 37 filings (8.20/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 53% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Park

This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The dominant input is economic stress at 9/10. Housing insecurity runs 34.3% against 14.2% nationally.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $21,875, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Disability prevalence runs 43.8% against 31.5% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 616 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2001, when 11.0% of renter households were served.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031260100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031260100?

Census tract 17031260100 in the Central Park neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031260100?

Median gross rent is $608/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031260100?

36.0% of residents in tract 17031260100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,016.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031260100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 66th, minority 97th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 17031260100 considered part of Central Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031260100 fall within Central Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031260100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 616 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031260100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.11% of renter households, peaking at 11.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031260100 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031260100 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031260100 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031260100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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