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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Moreland Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031251000 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,380 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

17031251000 is a census tract in the Moreland area of Chicago, IL. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,380 residents. The severe-burden share is 53%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 17% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units419
Renter share57.5%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate40.8%
Median income$35,568

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 8 tracts In Moreland
Very High
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#135 of 792 tracts In Chicago
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8987, -87.7449 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moreland scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
40.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,143 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Moreland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Moreland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 251000Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 276Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 9.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.5%Peak (2002)
  • 11Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170312510002001: 25 filings (10.25/100 renter HHs)2002: 33 filings (13.52/100 renter HHs)2003: 26 filings (10.66/100 renter HHs)2004: 18 filings (7.38/100 renter HHs)2005: 9 filings (5.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 18 filings (10.00/100 renter HHs)2007: 18 filings (10.00/100 renter HHs)2008: 12 filings (6.67/100 renter HHs)2009: 12 filings (6.67/100 renter HHs)2010: 21 filings (9.77/100 renter HHs)2011: 13 filings (7.69/100 renter HHs)2012: 16 filings (9.47/100 renter HHs)2013: 23 filings (13.61/100 renter HHs)2014: 21 filings (12.43/100 renter HHs)2015: 11 filings (6.51/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Moreland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moreland

Cost burden runs 70% here against 45.6% across Cook County. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Housing insecurity runs 37.3% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 41%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $35,568, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,143, 21% below the Chicago average.

Adults with no health insurance runs 20.4% against 11.3% nationally. Court records carry 276 eviction filings across 15 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2002, when 13.5% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 9.3% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031251000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031251000?

Census tract 17031251000 in the Moreland neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031251000?

Median gross rent is $1,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031251000?

40.8% of residents in tract 17031251000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,380.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031251000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 67th, minority 100th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 17031251000 considered part of Moreland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031251000 fall within Moreland (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031251000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 276 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031251000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.31% of renter households, peaking at 13.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031251000 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031251000 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031251000 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031251000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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