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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

South Lynn Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031671300 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,657 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 17031671300 covers part of the South Lynn area of Chicago, IL, and scores 8.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,657 residents. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 24% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units694
Renter share42.4%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate39.4%
Median income$29,563

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#4 of 17 tracts In South Lynn
High
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#143 of 792 tracts In Chicago
High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#195 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.7739, -87.6713 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Lynn scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
39.4% poverty · this tract
9.9
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How South Lynn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Lynn risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 671300Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 448Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 7.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.7%Peak (2001)
  • 22Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170316713002001: 50 filings (12.72/100 renter HHs)2002: 37 filings (9.41/100 renter HHs)2003: 36 filings (9.16/100 renter HHs)2004: 38 filings (9.67/100 renter HHs)2005: 24 filings (4.67/100 renter HHs)2006: 20 filings (3.89/100 renter HHs)2007: 25 filings (4.86/100 renter HHs)2008: 21 filings (4.09/100 renter HHs)2009: 39 filings (7.59/100 renter HHs)2010: 31 filings (9.04/100 renter HHs)2011: 14 filings (4.83/100 renter HHs)2012: 40 filings (13.79/100 renter HHs)2013: 33 filings (11.38/100 renter HHs)2014: 18 filings (6.21/100 renter HHs)2015: 22 filings (7.59/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Lynn. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Lynn

The dominant input is economic stress at 9.9/10. Housing insecurity runs 40.3% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 30.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The filing record is not thin: 448 evictions over 15 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2001 at 12.7% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031671300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031671300?

Census tract 17031671300 in the South Lynn neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031671300?

39.4% of residents in tract 17031671300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,657.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031671300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 89th, minority 100th, housing 30th.
Q4

Is tract 17031671300 considered part of South Lynn?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031671300 fall within South Lynn (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031671300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 448 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031671300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.93% of renter households, peaking at 12.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 17031671300 struggle to pay rent?

About 40.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 30.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17031671300 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031671300 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17031671300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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