Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Southtown Eviction Risk: Lower , Oak Park
Tract 17031812900 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,588 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Eviction risk in the Southtown neighborhood of Oak Park centers on tract 17031812900, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,588 residents. That is riskier than about 58% of US census tracts.
About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,252 a month against an average household income of $147,614 a year, roughly 10% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,715
Renter share28.6%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$147,614
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
31
th percentile
Low
Within county
11
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Park and the region
Centroid at 41.8763, -87.7953 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southtown scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Park
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,252 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Park
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Park
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Park
4.6
How Southtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 149Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.9%Peak (2004)
- 12Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Southtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.7%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 4.8%No health insurance
- 12.2%Frequent mental distress
- 19.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southtown
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oak Park eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cook County average of 5.7 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031812900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031812900?
Census tract 17031812900 in the Southtown neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031812900?
Median gross rent is $1,252/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031812900?
6.7% of residents in tract 17031812900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,588.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031812900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 24th, minority 44th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 17031812900 considered part of Southtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031812900 fall within Southtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031812900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 149 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031812900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.95% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031812900 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031812900 compare to Oak Park overall?
Tract 17031812900 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Oak Park at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031812900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Park
Top eight tracts in Oak Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Pleasant District
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
Pleasant District
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
Hemingway District
2.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
2.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · IL
Oak Park Arts District
2
/ 10 · Low
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