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Centralia, Illinois eviction risk overview
City brief · 11,856 residents

Centralia, IL Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Marion County · Population 11,856

In 2026
Risk score
4.2
MODERATE

64th percentile, Illinois.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.0 Average3.2 Now4.2
5.5 2.0 1976 · score 2.0 1977 · score 2.0 1978 · score 2.0 1979 · score 2.0 1980 · score 2.1 1981 · score 2.2 1982 · score 2.3 1983 · score 2.2 1984 · score 2.2 1985 · score 2.2 1986 · score 2.2 1987 · score 2.1 1988 · score 2.1 1989 · score 2.1 1990 · score 2.2 1991 · score 2.3 1992 · score 2.7 1993 · score 2.7 1994 · score 2.7 1995 · score 2.6 1996 · score 2.8 1997 · score 2.6 1998 · score 2.6 1999 · score 2.6 2000 · score 3.1 2001 · score 3.2 2002 · score 3.3 2003 · score 3.4 2004 · score 3.3 2005 · score 3.3 2006 · score 3.3 2007 · score 3.4 2008 · score 4.0 2009 · score 4.3 2010 · score 4.4 2011 · score 4.4 2012 · score 4.3 2013 · score 4.3 2014 · score 4.1 2015 · score 4.1 2016 · score 4.0 2017 · score 4.0 2018 · score 3.9 2019 · score 4.2 2020 · score 5.5 2021 · score 5.5 2022 · score 4.5 2023 · score 4.1 2024 · score 4.4 2025 · score 4.3 2026 · score 4.2

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 3.4 Regional 3.4 State 5.2 Economic 8.6 Supply 5.4 Rent Control 7.0 Eviction 4.7 Tenant 7.5 Housing 7.6 4.2 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +49.5% (2024)
    3.4
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    3.4
  3. State political climate
    Illinois legislature & governorship
    5.2
  4. Economic stress
    22.6% poverty · 10.6% unemp.
    8.6
  5. Supply constraint
    $765 average · 37.5% renters
    5.4
  6. Rent Control risk
    29.0% of income on rent
    7.0
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    112 days filing → judgment
    4.7
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    37.5% renters
    7.5
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    7.6
Geographic context

Risk heat across Centralia and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Centralia compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Marion County
Very High
#2 of 13 cities
Rank in county, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 13 cities in Marion County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Illinois
Elevated
#547 of 1,456 cities
Rank in state, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#547 of 1,456 cities in Illinois for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Centralia risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Centralia: 4.24.2CentraliaThis cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 4.2
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 4.2/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+2.2 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 112d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $765/mo. A contested eviction takes 112 days and costs $5,432–$13,361 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 37.5%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 11,856 residents, 37.5% rent. 29% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 22.6% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 3.4
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Light-statute interior market.

    Local & regional political climate score 3.4 and 3.4 (GOP margin +49.5% (2024)). State climate at 5.2, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 5.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 5.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 4.7, housing court bias 7.6, rent-control risk 7. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-0.3 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 8.6
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the real risk.

    Economic stress: 8.6. Supply constraint: 5.4. The numbers behind those: 22.6% poverty, 10.6% unemployment, 29% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Centralia sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago Aurora, IL · 120d · ~$10.2k all-in ($85/day) · score 4.2 Aurora Naperville, IL · 115d · ~$9.2k all-in ($80/day) · score 4.2 Naperville Joliet, IL · 114d · ~$8.4k all-in ($73/day) · score 4.1 Joliet Rockford, IL · 112d · ~$8.5k all-in ($76/day) · score 4.2 Rockford Elgin, IL · 129d · ~$9.9k all-in ($77/day) · score 4.2 Elgin Springfield, IL · 129d · ~$9.3k all-in ($72/day) · score 4.2 Springfield Peoria, IL · 129d · ~$10.1k all-in ($79/day) · score 4.1 Peoria Champaign, IL · 118d · ~$8.9k all-in ($75/day) · score 4.5 Champaign Waukegan, IL · 116d · ~$9.0k all-in ($78/day) · score 4.4 Waukegan Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Centralia
Centralia · 112d · ~$9.4k all-in ($84/day) · score 4.2 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Centralia, IL

Landlording in Centralia, Illinois, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.2/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Centralia is a city of 11,856 residents where 37.5% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 29.0% of income on rent. At an average rent of $765/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Centralia eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 4.7/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Centralia closes 112 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Centralia's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 7.6/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Centralia runs $5,432 to $13,361 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 112 days of typical timeline and $765/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 7.5/10 in Centralia, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (7/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Illinois, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Centralia: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Illinois's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $13,361 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Centralia

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 112 days and roughly $13,361 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $5,344 to $8,016 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under ILCS preemption + Chicago RLTO.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the absolute fastest I can get a tenant out for not paying rent in Centralia?

The absolute fastest scenario, if everything goes perfectly and the tenant doesn't fight it, would be around 30-45 days from serving the 5-day notice to getting a court order. However, the typical timeline in Centralia is 112 days. Don't expect the best-case scenario; plan for the average.

Q2

Can I charge whatever I want for a security deposit in Illinois?

Illinois doesn't have a statutory cap on security deposits. You can charge what you deem appropriate, but keep it reasonable. Most landlords charge one to two months' rent. Just remember the 30-day return deadline and the itemized statement requirement.

Q3

Do I have to accept Section 8 tenants in Centralia?

Yes. Illinois has statewide source-of-income protection. This means you cannot refuse to rent to a tenant solely because they use a Section 8 voucher or other legal form of income. You must apply your standard screening criteria fairly to all applicants, regardless of their income source.

Q4

What if my tenant just leaves without telling me?

If a tenant abandons the property, you generally need to follow specific procedures to legally regain possession and mitigate damages. Check your lease for abandonment clauses. You may still need to send notices or obtain a court order depending on how clearly the property has been abandoned. Consult an attorney before you assume you can just move their stuff out.

Q5

Should I try "cash for keys" before going to court?

Often, yes. "Cash for keys" can be a smart move, especially in a city like Centralia with a 112-day average eviction timeline and high costs. It can save you thousands in legal fees and lost rent, and gets your unit back faster. Always get the agreement in writing.

Q6

Can I evict a tenant in Centralia without a lawyer?

You can, but it's risky, especially given the complexity of Illinois law and the potential for costly delays from procedural errors. With Centralia's 5.7/10 risk score and the average cost of an eviction, hiring an attorney is usually a sound investment to protect your property and ensure the process is handled correctly. For a broader view, check out our Marion County eviction guide.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 4.2/10 places Centralia in the 64th percentile of Illinois cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.