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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Vernon Stables Eviction Risk: Elevated , Normal

Tract 17113000501 · McLean County, IL · pop 2,759 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 7.3/10, tract 17113000501 in the Vernon Stables area of Normal, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,759 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 27% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,354
Renter share68.8%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate37.5%
Median income$30,862

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Vernon Stables
Moderate
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 13 tracts In Normal
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 47 tracts In McLean County
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#476 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Normal and the region

Centroid at 40.5028, -88.9784 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vernon Stables scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Normal
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
37.5% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$924 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Normal
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Normal
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Normal
8.3

How Vernon Stables compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Vernon Stables risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0005015.9Normalparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vernon Stables

Against McLean County at 34.8%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 2.7 points above the McLean County average of 4.6.

The dominant input is economic stress at 9.4/10. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Set annual rent against average income of $30,862 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10.

69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $924, close to the Normal average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17113000501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17113000501?

Census tract 17113000501 in the Vernon Stables neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17113000501?

Median gross rent is $924/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17113000501?

37.5% of residents in tract 17113000501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,759.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17113000501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 12th, minority 43th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 17113000501 considered part of Vernon Stables?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17113000501 fall within Vernon Stables (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17113000501 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17113000501 compare to Normal overall?

Tract 17113000501 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Normal at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Normal eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Normal

Top eight tracts in Normal ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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