Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Arbor Walk Eviction Risk: Moderate , Normal

Tract 17113000504 · McLean County, IL · pop 4,450 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

17113000504 is a census tract in the Arbor Walk area of Normal, IL. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 28% Owners 50%

Tract context

Occupied units2,263

Renter share50.2%

SVI overall0.27

Poverty rate8.3%

Median income$64,696

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Normal and the region

Centroid at 40.5157, -88.9545 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arbor Walk scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Normal

5.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.2

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

8.3% poverty · this tract

2.1

Supply constraint

$925 rent vs county FMR

3.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Normal

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Normal

8.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Normal

8.3

How Arbor Walk compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

37%Socioeconomic
23%Household composition
47%Racial/ethnic minority
23%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.4%Housing insecurity
6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
10.4%Food insecurity
9.3%SNAP enrollment
6.1%Transit barriers
6.0%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
24.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arbor Walk

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. Against McLean County at 34.8%, 44% of renters here are cost-burdened.

19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.3/10. It sits 1.3 points above the McLean County average of 4.6.

Food insecurity runs 10.4% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.4/10.

Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $64,696, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $925, close to the Normal average. 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17113000504

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17113000504?

Census tract 17113000504 in the Arbor Walk neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17113000504?

Median gross rent is $925/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17113000504?

8.3% of residents in tract 17113000504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,450.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17113000504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 23th, minority 47th, housing 23th.

Is tract 17113000504 considered part of Arbor Walk?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17113000504 fall within Arbor Walk (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17113000504 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17113000504 compare to Normal overall?

Tract 17113000504 scores 5.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Normal at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Normal eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Normal

Top eight tracts in Normal ranked by composite eviction-risk score.