Skip to content
Rock Island Arsenal, Illinois eviction risk overview
City brief · 470 residents

Rock Island Arsenal, IL Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

Rock Island County · Population 470

In 2026
Risk score
5.7
ELEVATED

94th percentile, Illinois.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.6 Average3.7 Now5.7
10 5 1976 · score 1.6 1977 · score 1.7 1978 · score 1.7 1979 · score 1.9 1980 · score 1.8 1981 · score 1.9 1982 · score 2.0 1983 · score 1.9 1984 · score 1.9 1985 · score 1.9 1986 · score 1.9 1987 · score 1.9 1988 · score 2.2 1989 · score 2.2 1990 · score 2.4 1991 · score 2.4 1992 · score 3.0 1993 · score 3.0 1994 · score 3.0 1995 · score 3.0 1996 · score 3.2 1997 · score 3.3 1998 · score 3.3 1999 · score 3.4 2000 · score 3.4 2001 · score 3.5 2002 · score 3.7 2003 · score 3.7 2004 · score 3.6 2005 · score 3.7 2006 · score 3.8 2007 · score 3.9 2008 · score 4.5 2009 · score 4.7 2010 · score 4.7 2011 · score 4.8 2012 · score 4.6 2013 · score 4.8 2014 · score 4.9 2015 · score 5.0 2016 · score 4.9 2017 · score 5.1 2018 · score 5.3 2019 · score 5.6 2020 · score 6.3 2021 · score 6.3 2022 · score 6.3 2023 · score 6.3 2024 · score 6.2 2025 · score 5.9 2026 · score 5.7

Key metrics

Estimated values: The U.S. Census suppresses field-level data for small places. Estimated from county average, pop-weighted from real underlying ACS data.
Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 6.0 Regional 6.0 State 5.2 Economic 5.4 Supply 9.0 Rent Control 7.2 Eviction 4.7 Tenant 9.9 Housing 4.1 5.7 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +9.6% (2024)
    6.0
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.0
  3. State political climate
    Illinois legislature & governorship
    5.2
  4. Economic stress
    17.1% poverty · 23.8% unemp.
    5.4
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,372 average · 100.0% renters
    9.0
  6. Rent Control risk
    26.7% of income on rent
    7.2
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    108 days filing → judgment
    4.7
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    100.0% renters
    9.9
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    4.1
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rock Island Arsenal and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Rock Island Arsenal compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Rock Island County
Very High
#1 of 22 cities
Rank in county, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 22 cities in Rock Island County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Illinois
Very High
#96 of 1,456 cities
Rank in state, 94th percentileBottomTop
#96 of 1,456 cities in Illinois for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Rock Island Arsenal risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Rock Island Arsena: 5.75.7Rock Island ArsenaThis cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg in countyState: 5.45.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.7
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 5.7/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.1 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 108d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,372/mo. A contested eviction takes 108 days and costs $5,161-$14,037 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 100.0%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 470 residents, 100.0% rent. 27% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 17.1% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 6
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 6 and 6 (Dem margin +9.6% (2024)). State climate at 5.2, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 5.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 5.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 4.7, housing court bias 4.1, rent-control risk 7.2. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-0.3 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.4
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.4. Supply constraint: 9. The numbers behind those: 17.1% poverty, 23.8% unemployment, 27% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Rock Island Arsenal sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago Aurora, IL · 120d · ~$10.2k all-in ($85/day) · score 5.1 Aurora Naperville, IL · 115d · ~$9.2k all-in ($80/day) · score 4.7 Naperville Joliet, IL · 114d · ~$8.4k all-in ($73/day) · score 4.7 Joliet Rockford, IL · 112d · ~$8.5k all-in ($76/day) · score 4.8 Rockford Elgin, IL · 129d · ~$9.9k all-in ($77/day) · score 5 Elgin Springfield, IL · 129d · ~$9.3k all-in ($72/day) · score 5 Springfield Peoria, IL · 129d · ~$10.1k all-in ($79/day) · score 4.3 Peoria Champaign, IL · 118d · ~$8.9k all-in ($75/day) · score 5.2 Champaign Waukegan, IL · 116d · ~$9.0k all-in ($78/day) · score 4.9 Waukegan Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Rock Island Arsenal
Rock Island Arsenal · 108d · ~$9.6k all-in ($89/day) · score 5.7 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Rock Island Arsenal, IL

Landlording in Rock Island Arsenal, Illinois, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.7/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Rock Island Arsenal is a city of 470 residents where 100.0% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 26.7% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,372/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Rock Island Arsenal eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 4.7/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Rock Island Arsenal closes 108 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Rock Island Arsenal's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 4.1/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Rock Island Arsenal runs $5,161 to $14,037 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 108 days of typical timeline and $1,372/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 9.9/10 in Rock Island Arsenal, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (7.2/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Illinois, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Rock Island Arsenal: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Illinois's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $14,037 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Rock Island Arsenal

Trap · 7.2/10
The 5.9/10 score weighs nine sub-factors including political climate, court bias, supply constraint, and tenant organizing strength. Rock Island Arsenal's rent-control-risk sub-score is 7.2/10, driven by demographic and political pressure for tenant relief.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I turn off utilities if my tenant doesn't pay rent in Rock Island Arsenal?

Absolutely not. In Illinois, it is illegal for a landlord to turn off utilities, change locks, or otherwise engage in "self-help" eviction. You must follow the formal eviction process through the courts. Doing otherwise can lead to severe penalties, including fines and damages paid to the tenant.

Q2

How long does the 5-day pay-or-quit notice actually take?

The 5-day notice means the tenant has five full calendar days to pay the rent or move out, starting the day after they receive the notice. Weekends and holidays count. If the fifth day falls on a weekend or holiday, the deadline extends to the next business day. After those five days, if they haven't complied, you can proceed with filing the eviction lawsuit.

Q3

Is there rent control in Rock Island Arsenal?

No, there is no rent control in Rock Island Arsenal or anywhere else in Illinois. Illinois has a statewide preemption against rent control. This means local municipalities cannot enact their own rent control ordinances. You are generally free to set market rates, but always check for updates on Illinois rent control rules as laws can change.

Q4

What if my tenant damages the property during an eviction?

You can pursue damages for property damage in the same eviction lawsuit or in a separate small claims action. However, collecting on a judgment for damages can be difficult if the tenant has no assets or income. Document all damage with photos and videos before and after the tenant leaves. Your security deposit is your primary protection for damages, but it often isn't enough to cover extensive issues.

Q5

Should I accept partial rent payments during an eviction?

Be very careful with partial payments. Accepting a partial payment after serving an eviction notice can sometimes "waive" your right to continue with the eviction based on that notice, forcing you to start the process over with a new notice. If you decide to accept a partial payment, get a written agreement stating it's a partial payment, does not waive your right to evict, and what the remaining balance and new deadline are. Better yet, consult your attorney first.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.7/10 places Rock Island Arsenal in the 94th percentile of Illinois cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.