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Thornton, Colorado eviction risk overview
Ranked #299 of 1,861 nationally

Thornton, CO Eviction Risk: ELEVATED

Adams County · Population 144,187

In 2026
Risk score
6.4
ELEVATED

94th percentile, Colorado.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 — 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.4 Average3.1 Now6.4
10 5 1976 · score 1.4 1977 · score 1.4 1978 · score 1.5 1979 · score 1.6 1980 · score 1.7 1981 · score 1.8 1982 · score 1.8 1983 · score 1.7 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.8 1986 · score 1.8 1987 · score 1.8 1988 · score 2.0 1989 · score 2.0 1990 · score 2.1 1991 · score 2.1 1992 · score 2.4 1993 · score 2.5 1994 · score 2.5 1995 · score 2.5 1996 · score 2.4 1997 · score 2.4 1998 · score 2.5 1999 · score 2.6 2000 · score 2.4 2001 · score 2.5 2002 · score 2.6 2003 · score 2.7 2004 · score 2.6 2005 · score 2.7 2006 · score 2.8 2007 · score 2.8 2008 · score 3.5 2009 · score 3.6 2010 · score 3.7 2011 · score 3.8 2012 · score 3.7 2013 · score 3.8 2014 · score 3.9 2015 · score 3.9 2016 · score 4.2 2017 · score 4.4 2018 · score 4.6 2019 · score 4.9 2020 · score 5.8 2021 · score 5.8 2022 · score 5.8 2023 · score 5.9 2024 · score 5.9 2025 · score 6.4 2026 · score 6.4

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 6.7 Regional 6.7 State 4.7 Economic 5.2 Supply 7.5 Rent Control 7.6 Eviction 4.2 Tenant 6.0 Housing 5.9 6.4 ELEVATED
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +9.0% (2024)
    6.7
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.7
  3. State political climate
    Colorado legislature & governorship
    4.7
  4. Economic stress
    7.3% poverty · 4.6% unemp.
    5.2
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,895 average · 28.6% renters
    7.5
  6. Rent Control risk
    34.4% of income on rent
    7.6
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    98 days filing → judgment
    4.2
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    28.6% renters
    6.0
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.9
Geographic context

Risk heat across Thornton and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Thornton compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Adams County
Elevated
#7 of 17 cities
Rank in county — 63th percentileBottomTop
#7 of 17 cities in Adams County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Colorado
Very High
#37 of 479 cities
Rank in state — 93th percentileBottomTop
#37 of 479 cities in Colorado for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Thornton risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Thornton: 6.46.4ThorntonThis cityCounty: 6.36.3Countyavg in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 6.4
    / 10 · ELEVATED
    The verdict

    A Elevated-tier market.

    Composite 6.4/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+5.0 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 98d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,895/mo. A contested eviction takes 98 days and costs $4,701–$11,048 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 28.6%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 144,187 residents, 28.6% rent. 34% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 7.3% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 6.7
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 6.7 and 6.7 (Dem margin +9.0% (2024)). State climate at 4.7 — mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 4.7
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 4.7/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies — and shows up in process. Eviction process difficulty reads 4.2, housing court bias 5.9, rent-control risk 7.6. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-0.8 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.2
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.2. Supply constraint: 7.5. The numbers behind those: 7.3% poverty, 4.6% unemployment, 34% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Thornton sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Denver, CO · 98d · ~$8.6k all-in ($88/day) · score 7.3 Denver Aurora, CO · 94d · ~$9.3k all-in ($99/day) · score 5.9 Aurora Fort Collins, CO · 106d · ~$9.0k all-in ($85/day) · score 6.0 Fort Collins Lakewood, CO · 91d · ~$8.7k all-in ($96/day) · score 5.9 Lakewood Arvada, CO · 109d · ~$8.2k all-in ($75/day) · score 6.2 Arvada Westminster, CO · 99d · ~$7.3k all-in ($74/day) · score 6.4 Westminster Greeley, CO · 105d · ~$8.0k all-in ($76/day) · score 4.7 Greeley Centennial, CO · 93d · ~$8.6k all-in ($93/day) · score 5.9 Centennial Boulder, CO · 100d · ~$8.9k all-in ($89/day) · score 7.6 Boulder Highlands Ranch, CO · 101d · ~$8.6k all-in ($85/day) · score 5.5 Highlands Ranch Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.4 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.7 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.2 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.9 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.8 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 7.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.2 Seattle Thornton
Thornton · 98d · ~$7.9k all-in ($80/day) · score 6.4 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Thornton, CO

Landlording in Thornton, Colorado, presents an elevated-friction market where documented notices and proactive screening matter. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.4/10 (ELEVATED tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above — covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Elevated-friction market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Thornton is a city of 144,187 residents where 28.6% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 34.4% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,895/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing — a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Thornton eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 4.2/10 — a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Thornton closes 98 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Thornton's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.9/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Thornton runs $4,701 to $11,048 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice — common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 98 days of typical timeline and $1,895/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 6.0/10 in Thornton, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (7.6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5–3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks — but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Colorado, deposit cap and refund window are statute — exceed at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Thornton: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a ELEVATED tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one — retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Colorado's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $11,048 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Thornton

Trap · HB23-1115
The Adams County Court runs the standard Colorado timeline. State context: HB23-1115 applies. The political composition of north Denver suburbs has been more landlord-neutral than Denver City and County proper.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Thornton without a reason?

No, not entirely. While Colorado doesn't have a statewide "just-cause" requirement for eviction, you still need to follow proper notice periods. For month-to-month leases, you typically need a 21-day notice. For longer leases ending, you'd give a 91-day notice for a tenancy of a year or more. You cannot evict without cause during the term of a fixed-term lease unless the tenant breaches the lease (e.g., non-payment). Always refer to your lease terms and state law.

Q2

How long does it take to evict someone for not paying rent in Thornton?

Expect a typical eviction for non-payment in Thornton to take around 98 days from the moment rent is late until the tenant is removed. This includes the 10-day notice period, court processing, and sheriff lockout if necessary. It's rarely a quick process, so plan for significant lost rent and legal costs.

Q3

Can I charge whatever I want for a security deposit in Thornton?

No. In Colorado, including Thornton, the security deposit is capped at 2.00 months' rent. For a property with $1,895 median rent, that means a maximum of $3,790. You also have strict rules about returning the deposit, typically within 30 days, or risk penalties.

Q4

Do I have to accept Section 8 or other housing vouchers in Thornton?

Yes. Colorado has statewide source-of-income protection. This means you cannot refuse to rent to a tenant solely because they use a housing voucher (like Section 8) or another lawful source of income. You can, however, still apply your standard screening criteria (credit score, criminal history, rental history) to all applicants, including those with vouchers. See Colorado tenant protections for more.

Q5

What's the biggest mistake landlords make during an eviction in Thornton?

The biggest mistake is usually trying to handle the eviction yourself or making procedural errors. This includes incorrect notice wording, improper service, or accepting partial rent after serving a notice. These mistakes can cause delays, force you to restart the process, and significantly increase your costs and timeline. Hire an attorney when it gets to the court filing stage.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 6.4/10 places Thornton in the 94th percentile of Colorado cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1–10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976 — a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.