Neighborhood · Springfield, IL

Walnut Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,741 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Walnut Valley is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Springfield with 1 census tract and a population of 3,741 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 48% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 11% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $910/month sits 7% lower than the Springfield citywide average ($975).

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Walnut Valley vs Springfield How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

48.1% +65%

Springfield: 29.2%

Average gross rent

$910 -7%

Springfield: $975

Average HH income

$53,958 -18%

Springfield: $65,537

Poverty rate

14.9% -10%

Springfield: 16.5%

Renter share

23.1% -35%

Springfield: 35.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Walnut Valley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Walnut Valley scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Rent control risk

48% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

23% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Economic stress

14.9% below poverty line · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts

3.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Risk score comparison

Walnut Valley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Walnut Valley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
17167000100	4.5	3,741	48%	$910

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 59

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 65%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 53%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 30%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 56%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Walnut Valley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

11.9%Housing insecurity
7.9%Utility shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
15.3%SNAP enrollment
7.9%No health insurance
32.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Walnut Valley

What is the eviction-risk score for Walnut Valley?

Walnut Valley scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Walnut Valley compare to Springfield overall?

Walnut Valley scores 0.3 points higher than Springfield overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $910 vs $975.

What is the average rent in Walnut Valley?

Average gross rent in Walnut Valley is $910/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Walnut Valley residents are renters?

23% of Walnut Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Springfield). The neighborhood has 3,741 residents.

Is Walnut Valley a high social-vulnerability area?

Walnut Valley sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Walnut Valley for landlords?

Walnut Valley carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Springfield as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Walnut Valley?

Walnut Valley has 3,659 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80%), Other / Multiracial (13.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (3.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Walnut Valley

4.6 Northgate 5 tracts · pop 14,704 4.8 Vinegar Hill 7 tracts · pop 16,283 4.5 Val-E-Vue 2 tracts · pop 5,793 5.6 South Town 3 tracts · pop 5,729 6 Poplar Place 2 tracts · pop 6,054 4.4 Harvard Park 3 tracts · pop 9,478

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Springfield

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Walnut Valley.

4.4 Harvard Park 3 tracts · pop 9,478 4.6 Val-E-Vue 2 tracts · pop 5,793 4.6 Vinegar Hill 7 tracts · pop 16,283 4.4 Irisdale 1 tracts · pop 2,481 4.7 Northgate 5 tracts · pop 14,704 4.1 Westchester 2 tracts · pop 9,190

Zoom out