5 census tracts · pop 14,704 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10
· range 3.4–6
Northgate takes in 5 census tracts of Springfield, IL and houses 14,704 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Springfield baseline of 29.2%, about half of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The 5 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.4 to 6, a 2.6-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The severe-burden share is 19%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.9/10. That places it #7 of 16 neighborhoods in Springfield. At 20% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
Against average income of $63,703, annual rent is only 18%, a wide affordability cushion. Average gross rent runs $975, close to the Springfield average.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Northgate vs SpringfieldHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority35%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport26%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northgate
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.5%Housing insecurity
10.0%Utility shutoff threat
18.5%Food insecurity
20.0%SNAP enrollment
8.7%No health insurance
34.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Northgate
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Northgate?
Northgate scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Northgate compare to Springfield overall?
Northgate scores 0.8 points higher than Springfield overall (4/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $975 vs $975.
Q3
What is the average rent in Northgate?
Average gross rent in Northgate is $975/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Northgate residents are renters?
20% of Northgate households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Springfield). The neighborhood has 14,704 residents.
Q5
Is Northgate a high social-vulnerability area?
Northgate sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Northgate have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Northgate is census tract 17167000700 (score 6/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 6, a spread of 2.6 points.
Q7
How safe is Northgate for landlords?
Northgate carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Springfield as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Northgate?
Northgate has 14,234 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.5%), Other / Multiracial (4.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
