Neighborhood · Springfield, IL

Northgate Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 14,704 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 3.4–5.9

Northgate is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Springfield with 5 census tracts and a population of 14,704 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 19% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $975/month sits 0% higher than the Springfield citywide average ($975).

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

5 tracts · population-weighted

Northgate vs Springfield How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

49.2% +68%

Springfield: 29.2%

Average gross rent

$975 +0%

Springfield: $975

Average HH income

$63,703 -3%

Springfield: $65,537

Poverty rate

22.5% +36%

Springfield: 16.5%

Renter share

20.1% -44%

Springfield: 35.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northgate and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3.4–5.9

Why Northgate scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts

4.8

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.3 across tracts

5.0

Rent control risk

49% of income on rent · Range 2.5–5.8 across tracts

2.9

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.8 across tracts

4.1

Tenant organizing strength

20% renter households · Range 4.0–7.2 across tracts

4.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.0–6.7 across tracts

4.3

Economic stress

22.5% below poverty line · Range 2.6–9.5 across tracts

5.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.9–6.7 across tracts

3.6

Risk score comparison

Northgate vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Northgate?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.5 points from 3.4 to 5.9. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

5.9 5.1 4.9 3.6 3.4

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in Northgate

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
17167000600	5.9	4,249	72%	$783
17167000700	5.1	1,854	43%	$985
17167000503	4.9	3,328	40%	$813
17167000504	3.6	2,732	45%	$1,321
17167000501	3.4	2,541	33%	$1,130

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 43

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 49%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 72%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 35%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 26%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northgate

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

14.5%Housing insecurity
10.0%Utility shutoff threat
18.5%Food insecurity
20.0%SNAP enrollment
8.7%No health insurance
34.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Northgate

What is the eviction-risk score for Northgate?

Northgate scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Northgate compare to Springfield overall?

Northgate scores 0.5 points higher than Springfield overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $975 vs $975.

What is the average rent in Northgate?

Average gross rent in Northgate is $975/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Northgate residents are renters?

20% of Northgate households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Springfield). The neighborhood has 14,704 residents.

Is Northgate a high social-vulnerability area?

Northgate sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Northgate have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Northgate is census tract 17167000600 (score 5.9/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 5.9, a spread of 2.5 points.

How safe is Northgate for landlords?

Northgate carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Springfield as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Northgate?

Northgate has 14,234 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.5%), Other / Multiracial (4.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northgate

4.8 Vinegar Hill 7 tracts · pop 16,283 6 Poplar Place 2 tracts · pop 6,054 5.6 South Town 3 tracts · pop 5,729 4.5 Val-E-Vue 2 tracts · pop 5,793 4.4 Harvard Park 3 tracts · pop 9,478 3.5 Sherwood 2 tracts · pop 5,806

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Springfield

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northgate.

4.6 Val-E-Vue 2 tracts · pop 5,793 4.6 Vinegar Hill 7 tracts · pop 16,283 4.5 Walnut Valley 1 tracts · pop 3,741 4.4 Harvard Park 3 tracts · pop 9,478 4.4 Irisdale 1 tracts · pop 2,481 5.1 Fallingbrook 1 tracts · pop 4,884

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