Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Walnut Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 17167000100 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 3,741 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Here is how census tract 17167000100, in Walnut Valley in Springfield eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,741. It lands near the 43rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $910 a month while the average household earns $53,958 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 12% Owners 77%

Tract context

Occupied units1,720

Renter share23.1%

SVI overall0.59

Poverty rate14.9%

Median income$53,958

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.8465, -89.6552 · click any tract to drill in

Why Walnut Valley scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

14.9% poverty · this tract

3.7

Supply constraint

$910 rent vs county FMR

3.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

How Walnut Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
30%Racial/ethnic minority
56%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.9%Housing insecurity
7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
15.3%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
7.9%No health insurance
17.8%Frequent mental distress
32.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Walnut Valley

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sangamon County average of 4.9 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167000100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167000100?

Census tract 17167000100 in the Walnut Valley neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17167000100?

Median gross rent is $910/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167000100?

14.9% of residents in tract 17167000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,741.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167000100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 53th, minority 30th, housing 56th.

Is tract 17167000100 considered part of Walnut Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167000100 fall within Walnut Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167000100 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17167000100 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167000100 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17167000100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.