Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Walnut Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 17167000100 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 3,741 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 17167000100 covers part of the Walnut Valley area of Springfield, IL, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Sangamon County average of 38.5%.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 12% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,720
Renter share23.1%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$53,958

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Walnut Valley
Moderate
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 39 tracts In Springfield
Moderate
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 54 tracts In Sangamon County
Elevated
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1,648 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.8465, -89.6552 · click any tract to drill in

Why Walnut Valley scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$910 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
4.0

How Walnut Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Walnut Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0001004.0Springfieldparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Walnut Valley

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2.5/10. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, supply constraint reads 3/10.

It sits 0.7 points above the Sangamon County average of 4.2. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Average gross rent is $910, close to the Springfield average.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $53,958.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167000100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167000100?

Census tract 17167000100 in the Walnut Valley neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17167000100?

Median gross rent is $910/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167000100?

14.9% of residents in tract 17167000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,741.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167000100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 53th, minority 30th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 17167000100 considered part of Walnut Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167000100 fall within Walnut Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17167000100 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17167000100 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167000100 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17167000100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related