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Census Tract · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

East St. Louis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17163500500 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 2,067

For landlords sizing up East St. Louis, census tract 17163500500 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. On the national scale it ranks #32,570 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $901 a month while the average household earns $48,582 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 18% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units676
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate21.1%
Median income$48,582

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 10 tracts In East St. Louis
Low
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 68 tracts In St. Clair County
Elevated
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#1,007 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,017 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across East St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.6323, -90.1067 · click any tract to drill in

Why East St. Louis scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East St. Louis
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
21.1% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$901 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from East St. Louis
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East St. Louis
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East St. Louis
4.5

How East St. Louis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East St. Louis risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 500500East St. Louis: 4.34.3East St. Louisparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East St. Louis

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 5.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East St. Louis, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Clair County average of 5.5 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 3% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17163500500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163500500?

Census tract 17163500500 in East St. Louis scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17163500500?

Median gross rent is $901/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17163500500?

21.1% of residents in tract 17163500500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,067.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17163500500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 92th, minority 95th, housing 60th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 17163500500 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 17163500500 compare to East St. Louis overall?

Tract 17163500500 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of East St. Louis at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East St. Louis; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 17163500500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East St. Louis

Top eight tracts in East St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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