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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

East St. Louis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17163500500 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 2,067

17163500500 is a census tract in East St. Louis, IL. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,067 residents. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 18% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units676
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate21.1%
Median income$48,582

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 10 tracts In East St. Louis
High
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 68 tracts In St. Clair County
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,219 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across East St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.6323, -90.1067 · click any tract to drill in

Why East St. Louis scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East St. Louis
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
21.1% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$901 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from East St. Louis
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East St. Louis
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East St. Louis
4.5

How East St. Louis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East St. Louis risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 5005004.0East St. Louisparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East St. Louis

Against St. Clair County at 44.8%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. Housing insecurity runs 28.7% against 14.2% nationally.

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 2.4/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Against the St. Clair County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $901, close to the East St. Louis average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $48,582.

39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17163500500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163500500?

Census tract 17163500500 in East St. Louis scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17163500500?

Median gross rent is $901/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17163500500?

21.1% of residents in tract 17163500500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,067.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17163500500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 92th, minority 95th, housing 60th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 17163500500 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 17163500500 compare to East St. Louis overall?

Tract 17163500500 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of East St. Louis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East St. Louis; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 17163500500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East St. Louis

Top eight tracts in East St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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