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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

East St. Louis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17163500400 · St. Clair County, IL · pop 1,491

Census tract 17163500400 covers part of East St. Louis, IL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,491. Housing insecurity runs 40.4% against 14.2% nationally.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 19% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units700
Renter share41.1%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate31.0%
Median income$24,066

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 10 tracts In East St. Louis
Elevated
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 68 tracts In St. Clair County
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,219 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across East St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.6304, -90.1198 · click any tract to drill in

Why East St. Louis scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East St. Louis
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
31.0% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$634 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East St. Louis
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East St. Louis
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East St. Louis
4.5

How East St. Louis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East St. Louis risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 5004004.0East St. Louisparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East St. Louis

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 51.3% against 31.5% nationally. The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the St. Clair County average of 44.8%. Average gross rent is $634, 25% below the East St. Louis average.

Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, economic stress reads 7.7/10.

It sits 0.9 points above the St. Clair County average of 4.5. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17163500400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17163500400?

Census tract 17163500400 in East St. Louis scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17163500400?

Median gross rent is $634/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17163500400?

31.0% of residents in tract 17163500400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,491.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17163500400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 97th, minority 99th, housing 72th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 17163500400 struggle to pay rent?

About 40.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 35.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 17163500400 compare to East St. Louis overall?

Tract 17163500400 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of East St. Louis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East St. Louis; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 17163500400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East St. Louis

Top eight tracts in East St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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