Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Raynor Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Joliet
Tract 17197880903 · Will County, IL · pop 2,997 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 17197880903 covers part of the Raynor Park area of Crest Hill, IL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,997 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.5/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,651
Renter share67.6%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$70,466
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Joliet and the region
Centroid at 41.5577, -88.1168 · click any tract to drill in
Why Raynor Park scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Joliet
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,315 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Joliet
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Joliet
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Joliet
5.8
How Raynor Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 4%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Raynor Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.3%Housing insecurity
- 9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.3%Food insecurity
- 15.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 30.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Raynor Park
The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.5/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Will County average of 4.2.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 6.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,315, 11% below the Crest Hill average. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Joliet. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
40% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $70,466.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17197880903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17197880903?
Census tract 17197880903 in the Raynor Park neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17197880903?
Median gross rent is $1,315/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17197880903?
6.0% of residents in tract 17197880903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,997.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17197880903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 56th, minority 67th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 17197880903 considered part of Raynor Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17197880903 fall within Raynor Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17197880903 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17197880903 compare to Joliet overall?
Tract 17197880903 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Joliet at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Joliet eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 17197880903 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Joliet
Top eight tracts in Joliet ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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