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Neighborhood · Joliet, IL

Raynor Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 21,282 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 4.9–5.4

Raynor Park spans 6 census tracts of Joliet, IL and houses 21,282 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.1/10, in the Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 25%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Cost burden runs 39% against 31.3% citywide, putting Raynor Park 8.1% over its own city. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.6/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.6/10. SNAP participation is 24.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 17.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

That places it #5 of 11 neighborhoods in Joliet. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 6 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.5 points apart at the extremes.

Average gross rent runs $1,271, close to the Joliet average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $65,110.

47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 5.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
6 tracts · population-weighted
Raynor Park vs Joliet How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.4% +26%
Joliet: 31.3%
Average gross rent
$1,271 0%
Joliet: $1,276
Average HH income
$65,110 -26%
Joliet: $88,026
Poverty rate
20.1% +82%
Joliet: 11.0%
Renter share
47.4% +80%
Joliet: 26.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Raynor Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 4.9–5.4

Why Raynor Park scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–5.9 across tracts
4.7
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 2.0–6.0 across tracts
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–4.7 across tracts
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
47% renter households · Range 3.0–6.9 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–5.8 across tracts
3.8
Economic stress
20.1% below poverty line · Range 1.5–10.0 across tracts
4.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.1 across tracts
2.6
Risk score comparison

Raynor Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Raynor Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Raynor Park: 5.15.1Raynor ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 3.83.8Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Raynor Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.5 points from 4.9 to 5.4. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Raynor Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17197880903 5.4 2,997 40% $1,315
17197881800 5.2 4,246 43% $1,304
17197881900 5.2 3,597 41% $648
17197881500 5.2 3,463 24% $1,605
17197881402 5 3,529 39% $1,423
17197881401 4.9 3,450 48% $1,349
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 72

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 71%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Raynor Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Raynor Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Raynor Park?

Raynor Park scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Raynor Park compare to Joliet overall?

Raynor Park scores 1.3 points higher than Joliet overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,271 vs $1,276.
Q3

What is the average rent in Raynor Park?

Average gross rent in Raynor Park is $1,271/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Raynor Park residents are renters?

47% of Raynor Park households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Joliet). The neighborhood has 21,282 residents.
Q5

Is Raynor Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Raynor Park sits in the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Raynor Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Raynor Park is census tract 17197880903 (score 5.4/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.9 to 5.4, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Raynor Park for landlords?

Raynor Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Joliet as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Raynor Park?

Raynor Park has 21,043 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (43.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Raynor Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Joliet

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Raynor Park.

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